brooks wrote: squirecam wrote: buffythecatslayer wrote:
Also the GAMA press release states that 7 out of 190 exhibitors have cancelled, 0.037%
Uh, that's 3.7%. Still not a huge amount, but much larger than the statistically insignificant amount it seems from your post.
WOTC is also a big one.
- Lion Rampant Imports (Canada)
- GTS Distribution
- Max Protection
- Skytear (Italy)
- Southern Hobby Distribution
- Star City Games
- Wizards of the Coast
Stupid math gets the best of me every time : ) Thanks for catching the error. Regarding Wizards... I don't know, it seems like Hasbro has been pulling back from conventions and trade shows for quite some time well before Convid-19.
Agreed. How many GC attendees have even noticed that WotC/Hasbro hasn't even had a presence at GC the last few years? Some people complain every year. But no one seems to not come because of that, and the exhibit hall is still full.
IMO, I'm optimistic about GC still for a few reasons. One is the speed at which things are happening right now. People are moving fast to cancel spring events. And the faster people move now, the better off events in late summer are. The entire landscape of big events has changed significantly even since this thread began. And SARS-CoV-2 is not an extinction level event--it's only going to get so bad. And at the speed things are developing, that implies a good chance that we'll reach the nadir sooner rather than later. And from 'only so bad', there's only up.
People are canceling events not because the disease is massively deadly. They are canceling in order to try to stop it from spreading. So what are the possibilities by July:
1) There are still significant places where the disease has not spread and a reasonable chance of stopping it from getting there.
2) There are places it has not spread, but no reasonable chance of stopping it from getting there.
3) It has pretty much spread everywhere.
At the rate it's going, I see 2 and 3 as far more likely than 1. By July, it'll either more or less be everywhere already, or we'll have thrown up our collective hands at trying to stop it from getting everywhere. And in fact, the CDC has already moved from solely 'Containment' to 'Containment and Mitigation'...and will likely be moving more towards Mitigation and away from bothering with containment attempts moving forward.
If 1 was the case in July, canceling big events in July would make sense (like it does now, when containment still is worth the effort). But it'll most likely be 2 or 3 by then. And at that point, canceling makes much less sense.